The race for the Middlesex Suffolk & Essex seat really can be won by almost anyone. This is a very short election. All seven candidates are running in the Democratic primary on April 13th. Given that the district is leans strongly Democratic, whoever wins the primary is almost certain to get the seat even if a strong Republican challenger appears.
Since its a special election for a single state level position, with seven very similar progressive candidates its likely that there will not be a strong turnout for the election. So this race will be won by a candidate who gathers as few as about 4000 votes. Its going to come down to who has the best ground game – who can get the largest number of hardcore supporters to the polls on April 13th.
