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| Town/City | Precincts | D. Patrick (i) (Dem) |
C. Baker (GOP) |
T. Cahill (Ind) |
J. Stein (Grn) |
| Total | 2120/2168 | 1,083,92449% |
930,892 42% |
178,757 8% |
32,106 1% |
| read more |
[section_spacer]
| Town/City | Precincts | D. Patrick (i) (Dem) |
C. Baker (GOP) |
T. Cahill (Ind) |
J. Stein (Grn) |
| Total | 2120/2168 | 1,083,92449% |
930,892 42% |
178,757 8% |
32,106 1% |
| read more |
Charles Gibson moderates the final Massachusetts Gubernatorial Debate between Deval Patrick, Charlie Baker, Tim Cahill and Jill Stein.
Poll Analysis from Jessica Van Sack:
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/politics/view.bg?articleid=1288667
Definitely not a good poll for Baker, but not as negative as many are saying. Can’t say I disagree with Van Sack, fallout from Cahill collapse appears to be helping Patrick.
Question 3, cutting sales tax to 3%: Support: 44%, Oppose: 49%
Question 1, repeal alcohol sales tax: Repeal: 46%, Maintain: 47%
Marginals: http://www.suffolk.edu/images/content/FINAL.MASS.Statewide.Marginals.pdf
CrossTabs: http://www.suffolk.edu/images/content/FINAL.MASS.STATEWIDE.TABLES.OCT.12.pdf
Poll Analysis later.
Hector has been interviewing all the major candidates. Here is his interview with Tim Cahill. He had a previous interview with Charlie Baker and another with Attorney General candidate Jim McKenna.
Hector has more videos coming out including one with Deval Patrick and another with Martha Coakley.
Cahill is Part of a National Pattern of Fake Spoiler Candidates
Last Friday Howie Carr ran a column asking Tim Cahill to abandon his race for Governor because he cannot win:
So Tim Cahill, let me be blunt. How can we miss you if you won’t go away?
Tim, exactly how much do-re-mi will it take to get you out of this fight? I’ve asked you this on the air, and you laughed, as if I were kidding. I wasn’t.
And Cahill answered in a letter that is just too shrill not to repost:
Howie, your latest column was confusing. You don’t want me in this race? Poor little Charlie Baker might not be able to win it on his own? Why do we bother having elections at all?
Let’s take a quick step into your fantasy world, just so we can give voters a clear picture of what you would like to see.
The original post is on MassInc. The debate was at Suffolk University on August 16th, and focused on just Cape Wind.
Baker and Cahill come down against Cape Wind based mostly on cost and the massive subsidies to make it work. Patrick supports it based on the environmental benefits and on the jobs it creates. Patrick also cites how Cape Wind would protect Masssachusetts from cost volatility.
Stein is especially strong and convincing. She classifies herself as a commited environmental activist but opposes, like Baker and Cahill, based on cost and low cost efficiency. Where she really shines is how she calls out Patrick for taking contributions from Cape Wind interests, and for the closed door deals that got it done. She calls on the Governor to return contributions from Cape Wind lobbyists.
At one point Patrick calls Stein a “mole” and she retorts that “you have to be a mole to know what is happening on Beacon Hill.”
It is amazing to see the Green Party and Republicans largely in agreement. The debate ends up being to a large degree about transparency and insider “pay to play” contracts.
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Part 1
Red Mass Group is reporting that Charlie Baker released an internal memo showing that his latest internal poll shows him within 7 points of Deval Patrick.
MEMORANDUM
TO: TIM O’BRIEN – BAKER FOR GOVERNOR CAMPAIGN
FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE – PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
SUBJECT: RECENT BAKER POLL DATA
DATE: AUGUST 9, 2010
As you know, our firm recently completed a statewide survey in Massachusetts of 500 likely general election voters. The poll was conducted July 25-27 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% in 95 out of 100 cases.
The Republican Governors Association (RGA) has released two new web ads, one that attacks Tim Cahill, and for the first time one that attacks Deval Patrick. The ads are short, make a few negative assertions about Cahill and Patrick, and don’t go into much detail.
Doug Rubin, Patrick’s senior strategist has sent out a letter to supporters laying out the governor’s case against the ad:
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Age, Sex and Race Playing a Significant Role
The race is tightening. In the latest Rasmussen Poll, Patrick who last polled at 45% has seen support drop to 41%. He is still seeing benefits from good economic news. Before recent reports of an economic turn around Patrick was polling in the low 30′s.
Baker continues to rise. As the number of voters with no opinion of Baker shrinks he is seeing his poll numbers rise as expected. Probably not as quickly as he needs to, but the differential between Patrick and Baker is narrowing.